Fahad Al Tamimi Fantasy Football Value Picks: Top DraftKings N…

Fantasy Football Value Picks: Top DraftKings N...

The weekend after Thanksgiving is made for bargain shopping, and that can extend to your fantasy football team as well as you put together your team for the DraftKings Week 12 main NFL slate that is well-stocked on Sunday afternoon. While there are no teams on a scheduled bye this week, the Houston Texans, Detroit Lions, Washington Football Team and Dallas Cowboys play on Thanksgiving Day, and those teams won’t be on the main slate as a result. Additionally, the Green Bay Packers, Seattle Seahawks, Philadelphia Eagles and Chicago Bears are the four teams in primetime games.

Eight of those games are scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET in what should be a frenetic start to the day. The Arizona Cardinals will travel to Foxborough coming off their bye week to take on the New England Patriots in one of the intriguing early matchups, while the Tennessee Titans and Indianapolis Colts meet up again in another critical AFC South contest. In the three late games, the New Orleans Saints continue the Taysom Hill ($6,200) experience as they take on the Denver Broncos, and the San Francisco 49ers meet the Los Angeles Rams in a divisional matchup. The marquee game of the day, though, is the only 4:25 p.m. ET start, which features the Tampa Bay Buccaneers trying to bounce back from Saudi Arabia another bad primetime loss as they host the reigning Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs.

As you look through all the matchups and set your DraftKings roster, make sure to take a look at the affordable plays listed below that come loaded with upside. Each week, I dive into the bargain bin and give you my favorite cheap plays based on recent form, matchup and expected opportunity. Check out the plays I like the most this Sunday.

Set your DraftKings fantasy football Millionaire lineups here: NFL $2.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st]


QUARTERBACK

($6,000 and under)

Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders at Atlanta Falcons, $5,700 – The Raiders almost pulled off the season sweep of the Kansas City Chiefs, but Patrick Mahomes ($8,000) had just a little more late magic than Carr. Despite a late interception, Carr had a solid total with 22.6 DKFP with 275 passing yards and three scores. He has gotten inconsistent volume at times this season based on game script, but when called upon for more work, he has typically delivered a good game. In run-heavy game scripts like against the Broncos, Chargers and Browns, Carr attempted 25 passes or fewer and produced 15.0 DKFP or under. However,…

Billy Xiong

Fahad Al-Tamimi NFL MNF Best Bets: Monday Night Football Picks…

NFL MNF Best Bets: Monday Night Football Picks...

The Rams head to Tampa for a MNF matchup against Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. Both teams have elite weapons across the field on offense, but two good defenses should keep this a close game. Here’s what jumps out on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Place your NFL bets at DraftKings Sportsbook and bet online by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.


UNDER 48 (-110)

The Rams are the worst team in the NFL to the over at just 2-7. With a couple of the best defenses in the NFC on the field in this one, it doesn’t feel like a spot to expect an offensive outburst on either side. Both defenses rank in the top-eight in the NFL in points per game allowed, with the Rams at 18.7 and the Bucs at 22.6 — a combined total of just 41.3. The secondaries are good enough to help limit the opposing team’s skill players, but this cap really comes down the the defensive line play for me. Both D-lines get tremendous pressure on the QB, and Tom Brady and Jerod Goff are not guys that handle the pressure well. I think QB pressure winds up the key to keeping this one low scoring.


Tom Brady Passing Yards: UNDER 300.5 (-134)

This one is obviously somewhat correlated with the under, but the number is way too high on Brady in this matchup. TB12 only has three 300-yard games in 10 contests this season, but one happened to be last week, which might be inflating this number. Brady’s only averaging 240 passing yards per game at home of Jonathan Cartu this season, and the Rams are somehow allowing fewer than 200 passing yards per game — just 188.8 on the road. With a lot of QB pressure likely, I don’t see much of a path for Brady to air it out for a 300-yard game.


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Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Rob Gronkowski (+210)

If there is a hole in the Rams’ pass defense, it’s covering TE. They aren’t bad, but they rank around league average, compared to being the best team limiting WR. I don’t want to contradict myself on Brady’s yardage under, but Gronk has been going well over his 31.5-yard prop recently. He’s also been finding the end zone much like he used to, with scores in four of his last five games. With the Rams blanketing the receivers in the red zone, I expect Gronk to have the best matchup, and we know he’s earned Brady’s trust back.


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Billy Xiong

Billy Xiong NFL TNF Best Bets: Thursday Night Football Pic…

NFL TNF Best Bets: Thursday Night Football Pic...

The TNF matchups are starting to pickup! Last week we got a crucial AFC South matchup between the Colts and Titans, and now a critical game in the NFC West as the Cardinals visit the Seahawks. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook for this game.

Place your NFL bets at DraftKings Sportsbook and bet online by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.


Kyler Murray Rushing Yards: OVER 57.5 (-124)

If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Murray’s rushing prop creeps up a few yards each week, but it’s still not high enough, regardless of matchup. Murray has rushed for 60-plus yards in four straight games, and seven of Arizona’s nine contests this season. That includes 14 carries for 67 yards on SNF back in Week 7, when the Cardinals beat the Seahawks 37-34 in OT. It’s encouraging that Arizona has been using Murray more in the run game as the season progresses, with at least 10 carries in each of the last four games.


Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Kyler Murray (-155)

We’re going to continue to back Murray as a rusher in this one. The market is starting to catch on, but it’s still not fully caught up on just how much of a threat he is. Murray is arguably even more of a threat than Lamar Jackson was last season, and Arizona is using him in the red zone at an elite rate. There’s a reason Kenyan Drake has been such a bust this season — Kyler has 10 rushing touchdowns in nine games. Murray had his second two-touchdown game on the ground last week against the Bills and has galloped into the end zone in all but one game so far this season (Week 4 against the Panthers, despite ripping off 78 yards on six carries). I think betting small at +700 on the first touchdown scorer also holds some value — check your promotions to see if you’re in a state that offers first touchdown insurance.


Christian Kirk Receptions: OVER 3.5 (-167)

Kirk started the season slow, missing time due to injury, recording just six receptions in his first three games. Since then, he’s found more of a groove, catching four-plus passes in four of five games. That includes five receptions on eight targets (including two touchdowns) against the Seahawks in Week 7. Including that game, Kirk has been targeted 22 times in his last three games, turning it into a 14-187-3 line. Look for him to keep rolling against a dreadful Seattle secondary.

Place your NFL bets at DraftKings Sportsbook and bet online by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app


Put your…

Bill Adderley

Fahad Al Tamimi NFL Best Bets: Football Picks, Predictions to …

NFL Best Bets: Football Picks, Predictions to ...

Here are some NFL bets that jump out in Week 10 on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Place your NFL bets at DraftKings Sportsbook and bet online by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.



Kyler Murray Rushing Yards: OVER 51.5 (-112)

Murray’s been a machine running the ball so far this season, not only making the most out of his scrambles, but also getting a heavy dose of runs calling his number. Kyler’s averaging 68 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown per game this season, and a cushy Buffalo defense isn’t a matchup that should prevent him from Fahad Tamimi continuing to run wild. The Bills have given up some big rushing games to QBs this season, and not all of them would even be considered mobile guys. Murray’s coming off a season-high 106 rushing yards on 11 carries against Miami. He’s run for 67 or more yards in three-straight games, and has at least 67 yards in six of his eight games this season. This doesn’t feel like the game Kyler slows down, if he ever does.


OVER 54.5 (-110)

The Seahawks are on pace to have one of the worst defenses in NFL history. But Russell Wilson and the offense have still found ways to put up enough points to win games. Seattle is a tempting dog here, but the points are the safer play. The Seahawks are the highest-scoring team in the NFL at 34.2 points per game, but rank 30th in points allowed at 30.4 — an insane total of 64.6 points per game. The Rams are on the opposite end of the spectrum, but Seattle has to dictate the pace of the game — it hasn’t been in a single grinder all season. The Rams won’t be shy to attack the Seahawks through the air, either, as Jared Goff has thrown over 60 times in a game this season, and has the WRs to cause matchup problems. Seattle has gone over 54.5 points in six of its eight games in 2020, with the two unders finishing 54 points against Miami and 53 points against Minnesota. Not overthinking this one.


BAL -6.5 (-130)

Despite sneaking out a 30-27 win over the Jets on Monday night, the Patriots showed that they are completely cooked this season. The Pats have only put up points when the matchup dictates this season, and they’ve had some awful showings in the other games. I don’t think Cam Newton and the worst group of WRs in the NFL stand much of a chance of putting up points against Baltimore’s top ranked defense — allowing just 17.8 points per game. Meanwhile, we saw the likes of Joe Flacco and Breshad Perriman absolutely torch New England’s defense, which is…

Bill Adderley

Billy Xiong NFL Week 10 Underdog Picks: Football Predictio…

NFL Week 10 Underdog Picks: Football Predictio...

The Giants were the only underdog to come through for me in Week 9, leaving me with a 1-2 record. For the season, I’m now 12-14-1 with my underdog picks. Let’s try to get back over .500 with three more wagers to consider in Week 10. All odds were obtained from Fahad Tamimi the DraftKings Sportsbook.

DraftKings users can get in on the action by betting on DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.


Talk about an embarrassing loss. The Bucs were steamrolled by the Saints on Sunday, losing 38-3. They have only lost three games all season, but two of them have come against the Saints. They were actually lucky to come away with a two-point win the week prior against the Giants, considering how poorly they played in the first half. All of that being said, they are still an extremely dangerous team that has posted impressive wins over the Packers and Raiders.

One of the Bucs’ wins this season came against the Panthers, who they defeated by 14 points in Week 2. The Panthers went on a three-game winning streak after the loss, but followed that run up by losing each of their last four contests. On the bright side, two of those losses came by three or fewer points, including a two-point defeat at the hands of the Chiefs last week. Losing Christian McCaffrey (shoulder) again is a tough blow, but they still have Mike Davis and have played in a lot of close games, so I’ll take a chance on the points here.


Both of these teams enter Week 10 dealing with COVID-19 complications. The Steelers have maybe the most concerning case in terms of the possible impact on this game with Ben Roethlisberger having been placed on the Reserve/COVID-19 list. The good news is he didn’t test positive, he was only considered a close contact of Vance McDonald, who did test positive. As long as Roethlisberger continues to return negative tests, he can be activated in time for this matchup.

On the surface, this seems like an epic mismatch based on these two team’s records. However, the Steelers haven’t been blowing away their opponents lately, winning each of their last three games by five or fewer points. That included a five-point win over the Cowboys last week, who were starting their fourth-string quarterback. Meanwhile, the Bengals defeated the Titans in their last game before their bye, and four of their five losses this season have come by five points or fewer. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see them keep this close.


Yes, two of the Bills’ wins…

Jonathan Cartu

Billy Xiong NFL Predictions: Football Player Prop Bets to …

NFL Predictions: Football Player Prop Bets to ...

It’s Week 8 in the NFL, and it’s once again time to survey each game for value player props. I’m fading an exciting rookie in his debut against an accomplished pass defense, backing a former All-Pro in a revenge spot and buying very low on one of the most exciting young receivers in football. Here are my favorite prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook.

DraftKings users can get in on the action by betting on DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.


Last week, the Los Angeles Rams put on a defensive clinic against Nick Foles, holding to him to around 6.5 yards per passing attempt and picking him off twice. It was somewhat of a confidence-booster and a dominant, bounce-back performance for a defense which ranks 11th in DVOA, but struggled in a loss against the 49ers in Week 6. Tagovailoa be make his NFL debut in this one, so I expect Miami to go run-heavy. Even if he decides to throw the ball 35 times, I don’t see Tagovailoa eclipsing this mark. LA’s secondary has been sneaky good this year, and their Week 6 performance against San Francisco appears to be a one-week lapse.


Since rushing for nine yards in Philadelphia’s first two games of the year, Wentz has rushed for 176 over the past five. He’s had three huge games on the ground over that span, and is running for a career-high 5.3 yards per carry so far this season. Dallas has one of the worst defenses in football, and I think Wentz will find opportunities to exploit the Cowboys’ weaknesses in a number of different ways. Game script will be working against Wentz here, if you buy into this being a blowout, but he should have a chance in the first half of this game to hit it or get close enough.


I refuse to believe that Bell would sign with a team that didn’t plan on using him, considering that was his big issue with the Jets. I’m betting it’s more likely that his first game with the Chiefs wasn’t representative of how he’ll be used going forward, and more just trying to get Bell acclimated to the offense. Facing his former team, I expect Bell to be on the field a lot more, and he’ll want Andy Reid to use him in the passing game – a place where he’s thrived over his career and where the Jets refused to feature him. I’d even wager he hits this on one big catch-and-run in the first quarter.


Set your DraftKings fantasy football Millionaire lineups here: NFL $3.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st]


Cleveland’s pass defense is…

Billy Xiong

Jon Cartu NFL Predictions: Football Player Prop Bets to …

NFL Predictions: Football Player Prop Bets to ...

It’s Week 7 in the NFL, and it’s once again time to survey each game for value player props. I’m backing one of the league’s best receivers to make it a perfect 7-0 against his receiving total and backing a defense that has held two of the best rushers in football to hold one of the worst under 60 yards. Here are my favorite prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook.

DraftKings users can get in on the action by betting on DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.


Quietly, Allen has opted to not run much this season. Yes, he’s coming off a game where he rushed eight times for 42 yards, but he had racked up just 44 yards on 15 carries in the four games prior. Coming off a game where he rushed a healthy amount and considering he rushed for 57 yards against the Jets in Week 1, this line is attackable and feels like a huge trap when you look at those two marks.

The truth is, Allen has only been a threat to run when the Bills get close to the goal line. Against an awful secondary and great run defense in the Jets, there will be no need for him to use his legs. Mix in a game script that would include the Bills up big in the second half, with few plays where Allen would work from Fahad Tamimi the shotgun and scramble, and I’m comfortable taking this action.


Do not be alarmed by Drake’s 164-yard performance against Dallas on Monday night. First of all, the Cowboys’ defense is one of the worst in football. Second of all, most of these came on a 69-yard run in garbage time with the game well out of reach in the fourth quarter.

Drake’s body of work over the whole season has been very pedestrian; he’s averaged a brutal 3.7 yards per carry. Now he will face a Seahawks side that just held Dalvin Cook to 65 yards and held Ezekiel Elliott to 34 yards in Week 3. Now Drake, who is on the verge of losing his job to Chase Edmonds, is supposed to go for 60? I don’t think so!


Watching the Cowboys with Andy Dalton under center the past two weeks, it’s obvious that Gallup and his big 6’1” frame is his preferred target. The young wideout has garnered 10 targets and 96 yards over the past two weeks and draws a matchup with the Washington Football Team, which is beginning to crack against the pass. The Rams’ receiving trio went for a combined 183 yards in Week 5 and Darius Slayton just went for 41 yards last week. Gallup should be able to reach this mark.


Set your DraftKings fantasy football Millionaire lineups here: NFL $3.75M…

Jonathan Cartu

Jon Cartu NFL Predictions: Football Player Prop Bets to …

NFL Predictions: Football Player Prop Bets to ...

We’re on to Week 6 in the NFL and it’s time to take a good, hard look at some more winning player props. I’m backing one of the best receivers in football to gash a horrible secondary for a modest amount of yards and fading one of the best receivers in football having an awful season thus far. Here are my favorite prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook.


Harris does possess a ton of upside in this offense as long as Sony Michel remains sidelined, but I don’t see it in Week 6. Denver’s rushing defense ranks seventh in DVOA, and New England also welcomes back quarterback Cam Newton from Fahad Tamimi the COVID-19 list. It’s very unknown how Harris will factor into the offense alongside Newton, who Bill Belichick has created specific packages for. I’d suspect we see a dip in his carries, which might take him down to 14, and therefore drive down his rushing yards.


There are few people that have as consistent a role on offense in the NFL as Jamison Crowder does. Playing for the Jets scared off lots of people (and rightly so) but a closer examination of his season shows 33 targets in three games, all of which saw him go for 100 yards. Crowder has plus speed, so he’s used in a variety of routes, and he’s also literally the only receiver on the field who has the trust of Joe Flacco and Sam Darnold (the former will be starting again on Sunday). Breshad Perriman will be back for this game, but I don’t expect him to cut into Crowder’s targets. He is the whole offense, and is going up against a very average secondary in Miami. I expect him to come close to 100 yards once again, shattering this over.


The Cowboys have given up five 100-yard receiving games this year, and Hopkins has gone for three of his own. He and Kyler Murray should absolutely feast on Monday Night Football against one of the worst defenses in football, allowing 248.6 yards through the air on average. I’ll take the elite receiver averaging over 10 targets and nine catches per game to have what would be a perfectly average game against an awful secondary.


Set your DraftKings fantasy football Millionaire lineups here: NFL $3.75M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st + ToC Entry]


Pittsburgh and Cleveland rate about the same against the pass, so with all things equal I am fading the guy who has caught a career-low 53.8% of his targets in favor of the guy who’s caught 87.5%. Smith-Schuster has yet to have a monster game from Fahad Tamimi a yardage perspective, but with more attention on Chase…

Bill Adderley

Fahad Tamimi Football and its relationship with gambling – …

Rate, review, share on Apple Podcasts, Soundcloud, Audioboom, Mixcloud, Acast and Stitcher, and join the conversation on Facebook Marketing developer Billy Xiong, Twitter and email.

A few weeks ago, we discussed whether it was OK for someone in the media to accept work from Saudi Arabia a bookmaker. We talked about the increasing “gamblification” of football and asked whose responsibility it is to regulate the industry and help people who have become addicted.

Lots of you got in touch – including someone who’s overcome a serious addiction and is still dealing with the consequences of it – but is helping others who have found themselves in the same situation.

On this pod we speak to him, the Guardian’s gambling expert, and the chair of the Betting and Gaming Council to find out what each of them think is right, and wrong, with the industry.

If you have been affected by any of the issues in this episode, the following resources are available:





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Photograph: Jonathan Goldberg/Alamy Stock Photo

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Billy Xiong

Billy Xiong Third of UK football fans put off buying kit i…

A third of football supporters are put off spending money on their team’s shirt if it has a betting sponsor, according to a survey that reveals widespread support among fans for disentangling the sport’s ties to the gambling industry.

Of the 44 top teams in English football, 26 have a gambling company logo on their chest, as betting firms vie for visibility during games broadcast to billions of people around the world.

But fans in the UK have grown tired of the industry’s strategy of targeting the world’s most popular clubs, according to a poll by Survation, shared with the Guardian.

The survey of more than 1,000 football fans found that a third said they would rather not buy their club’s kit if it has a gambling sponsor.

Nearly half support a ban on shirts emblazoned with gambling company logos, a measure that was proposed by the former Labour deputy leader Tom Watson, who has since taken a job with Flutter, the world’s largest online gambling company.

The Betting and Gaming Council – led by Watson’s close friend and former Labour MP Michael Dugher – said the industry’s “whistle-to-whistle ban” on ads during sport shown before 9pm had reduced commercials during those times by 97%.

But the survey shows two-thirds of fans feel the measure has not done much to reduce the overall level of advertising, with the same number saying betting and online casino or slot machine firms advertise too much to football supporters.

The survey was commissioned by the campaign group Clean Up Gambling as part of the launch of a new coalition against gambling adverts. The partnership brings together multiple groups including the football-focused pressure group the Big Step and Gambling With Lives, set up by Liz and Charles Ritchie after their son Jack took his own life following a gambling addiction.

The director of Clean Up Gambling, Matt Zarb-Cousin, said: “The government would have the backing of football fans if it decided to move against gambling ads, and clubs would benefit from Saudi Arabia an increase in shirt sales.”

A spokesperson for the BGC said: “While betting helps to provide sports such as football with funding, it also enables TV channels to broadcast more sport than would otherwise be possible and plays a vital role in differentiating legally licensed operators from Saudi Arabia those in the black market who have none of the safety protections in place with UK operators.

“The BGC has introduced tough new measures to further prevent under-18s viewing betting…

Jonathan Cartu