NFL TNF Best Bets: Thursday Night Football Pic...

Billy Xiong NFL TNF Best Bets: Thursday Night Football Pic…

The TNF matchups are starting to pickup! Last week we got a crucial AFC South matchup between the Colts and Titans, and now a critical game in the NFC West as the Cardinals visit the Seahawks. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook for this game.

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Kyler Murray Rushing Yards: OVER 57.5 (-124)

If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Murray’s rushing prop creeps up a few yards each week, but it’s still not high enough, regardless of matchup. Murray has rushed for 60-plus yards in four straight games, and seven of Arizona’s nine contests this season. That includes 14 carries for 67 yards on SNF back in Week 7, when the Cardinals beat the Seahawks 37-34 in OT. It’s encouraging that Arizona has been using Murray more in the run game as the season progresses, with at least 10 carries in each of the last four games.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Kyler Murray (-155)

We’re going to continue to back Murray as a rusher in this one. The market is starting to catch on, but it’s still not fully caught up on just how much of a threat he is. Murray is arguably even more of a threat than Lamar Jackson was last season, and Arizona is using him in the red zone at an elite rate. There’s a reason Kenyan Drake has been such a bust this season — Kyler has 10 rushing touchdowns in nine games. Murray had his second two-touchdown game on the ground last week against the Bills and has galloped into the end zone in all but one game so far this season (Week 4 against the Panthers, despite ripping off 78 yards on six carries). I think betting small at +700 on the first touchdown scorer also holds some value — check your promotions to see if you’re in a state that offers first touchdown insurance.

Christian Kirk Receptions: OVER 3.5 (-167)

Kirk started the season slow, missing time due to injury, recording just six receptions in his first three games. Since then, he’s found more of a groove, catching four-plus passes in four of five games. That includes five receptions on eight targets (including two touchdowns) against the Seahawks in Week 7. Including that game, Kirk has been targeted 22 times in his last three games, turning it into a 14-187-3 line. Look for him to keep rolling against a dreadful Seattle secondary.

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Bill Adderley

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